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Sri Lanka is Slated to Win the World Cup 2007
Sri Lanka has been playing cricket like chess. They have been playing up to potential on the pitch like no other, but you would notice a planning strategist behind their World Cup campaign. We have discussed their strategy earlier as well and have always supported them to reach the final.
In fact, New Zealand copied them too and kept Styris and Oram out of their match against Australia – great copy – because if they met Australia again they would have a different team to the one that lost to Australia in the Super 8 ensures that there is no psychological advantage for the winning team.
Finally, Australia and Sri Lanka are in the finals. Full marks to both for a relentless campaign. If you see in both, there is a difference in the way they approach the games. Australia come at them in office like fashion, playing to their full potential every time. Herein lies the difference. Sri Lanka play a different game in crucial matches. Murali’s smile widens, as does his seriousness. Vaas and Malinga are not given even a little space in the first 10 overs. And this strategy has not been exposed to Australian openers yet. Sri Lanka are also tightening the screws in the middle overs through Murali and Jayasuriya (who looks like the easiest target for the batsmen between these tough bowlers and so batsmen try to go for the kill here and wickets start fall). Sri Lanka and Australia are the only teams who are not trying to limit the score, their only aim is to get the team out.
It’s not about playing to potential, it’s more about not revealing your cards, especially the Joker (in this case Lasitha Malinga).
There are 2 theoretical possibilities:
1. The Joker plays to potential and wrecks the Australian batting line up 2. The Australian Team focuses on wrecking the Joker so much that the other bowlers wreck the Team.
It doesn’t matter if they win or not, but it is in their best interest not to show their Joker, which is also the least documented and studied weapon. This might not work for weaker teams, but when you have Vaas and Murali in the attack, you can take this chance.
Australia, in comparison, are psychologically weaker in the spin department – with the exit of big game player Shane Warne. Hogg, who is sort of a similarly undisclosed / undocumented weapon at his end, doesn’t exactly categorize as a “different” bowler in terms that Murali on Malinga would. And without the big stage exposure – I expect Jayasuriya (if McGrath doesn’t get it) to take it to the cleaners. It’s going to be an interesting fight though.
Onedayers.com has a different Ranking System than the ICC and I’m sure if you go past this, you’d be better off predicting the Twenty20 World Cup. I used the same system to predict the following:
- He seeded Ireland at No. 6 before the world cup He predicted the Bangladesh bowling attack to be one of the best in the world cup (worse their batting did not rise to the same standards). It also put Sri Lanka as the team to watch ahead of the World Cup if Jayasuriya maintains his form. He envisioned Jayasuriya as the man to watch for!
There were no guesses but this grading system was used. Well, in the last match I would put my money on Sri Lanka, as both teams have a successful set of bowlers and batsmen, but Sri Lanka have a huge variety in their bowling.
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