Is Ecuador Getting Kicked Out Of The World Cup World Cup Picks

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World Cup Picks

The most popular sporting event on the planet is finally upon us. Not only will billions of football fans tune in to the tournament, they will get to gamble on it too. Bookies expect this year’s World Cup to be the biggest betting event of the year. Of course, we intend to get a piece of the action. Here’s a roundup of some of our best bets from each World Cup group:

Group A (Germany, Poland, Ecuador, Costa Rica)

Ecuador to Finish 2nd (+330)

Assuming Germany win the group easily, the second qualifying spot will be up for grabs. Most assume that Poland will come second, but it is not as simple as the odds suggest. Poland lack depth and were unimpressive in qualifying. As the third best team in South America, don’t underestimate Ecuador’s potential here. Second is a coin flip between Poland and Ecuador, so jump on the value price in the Ecuadorians at +330

Group B (England, Sweden, Paraguay, Trinidad and Tobago)

Sweden to Qualify (-250)

Sweden was the highest scoring European team in the World Cup qualifiers, averaging 3 gpg. Their defense is less impressive, but not catastrophic, and they have above average goalkeeping. To reach the next round, Sweden just needs to get past Paraguay. A loss to England and an easy win over minnows Trinidad will be enough for them. But the Swedes are just as capable of beating England, and could even surprise with a first place finish.

Group C (Argentina, Netherlands, Ivory Coast, Serbia and Montenegro)

Serbia and Montenegro to Qualify (+225)

The Serbians had by far the best defense of any team in qualifying. They are a strong, organized and dangerous side on the counter attack. Expect them to thwart favorites Holland and Argentina and get some stunning results.

Group D (Portugal, Mexico, Iran, Angola)

Top scorer Jared Borgetti (+650)

Iran and Angola might be the whipping boys of this group, and whenever that happens there’s a good chance of some blowout games. Mexico’s talismanic striker, Jared Borgetti, has a natural sense of goalscoring, and with the Mexicans playing a free-flowing game he could have many chances. It is definitely worth a pound at this price.

Group E (Italy, Czech Republic, USA, Ghana)

Italy to Finish Bottom (16/1)

Italy could be the shock of the tournament, just like France in the 2002 World Cup. The Italians field a side full of old timers past their prime. With the recent Serie A betting scandal hanging over them, the team will be removed from this tournament. We know how often the Italians draw games in international tournaments. To finish bottom, they can draw against the USA and Ghana and lose to the Czechs. That’s hardly a far-fetched result, and it’s definitely worth a shot at 16/1.

Group F (Brazil, Croatia, Japan, Australia)

Japan to Finish Bottom (+110)

Brazil and Croatia should finish in the top two places, so it will be a battle between Japan and Australia for third place. With the Aussies being coached by one of the best coaches in the world, Guus Hiddink, they have a natural advantage. Japan are struggling to finish and this group should be frustrated.

Group G (France, Switzerland, South Korea, Togo)

Switzerland to Qualify (-150)

This has to be the strongest choice of the group stages. Togo are a desperate side and happy to be here. South Korea are a shadow of the team they were four years ago. With no home advantage, they will look like an ordinary side. Even France have an aging squad that is not guaranteed to reach first place. Switzerland are a quality side that can reach the later stages of this tournament.

Group H (Spain, Ukraine, Tunisia, Saudi Arabia)

Total Group Goals under 17.5 (-143)

The bookies assume that Saudi Arabia will usually be themselves and concede four or five goals per game. That should not be the case this time. The Saudis have hired a coach from Brazil and have focused obsessively on defence. That comes at the expense of other aspects of their game, but regardless, they will concede far fewer goals in this tournament. Tunisia don’t usually take part in high-scoring games, and Ukraine and Spain aren’t exactly scoring powerhouses. This line assumes 2.91 goals per game, which is too much to ask.

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